Tariff turbulence: Where owners, prime contractors and subcontractors should focus their attention
Recent tariff increases are creating significant challenges for Canadian businesses, particularly in sectors reliant on complex supply chains and subcontracting networks, such as construction and infrastructure. As material costs fluctuate unpredictably and delivery timelines become increasingly unstable, owners, prime contractors and subcontractors are facing mounting financial and legal risks. To navigate this environment and ensure the successful delivery of projects, all parties need to actively consider the risk allocation and, where necessary, show flexibility and promote innovation.
This new reality comes at an interesting time: the Canadian market has shown a growing appetite for collaborative and progressive projects. These contracting models, coupled with the increased use of price adjustment (escalation) clauses, is signaling a shift towards more flexible and resilient risk management strategies. Owners, prime contractors and subcontractors should brace themselves in light of the coming tariff storm.
Flow-down of prime contract obligations: Ensuring alignment and accountability
Tariff escalation is intensifying the importance of well-structured flow-down provisions. These clauses typically ensure that key obligations in the prime contract—such as pricing terms, performance deadlines, and force majeure definitions—are consistently passed down to subcontractors and suppliers. Proper alignment through equivalent project relief protects both owners and prime contractors from inconsistencies that can lead to disputes or unrecoverable cost increases.
The traditional thinking is that without clear and consistent flow-down provisions, prime contractors may struggle to enforce the same performance and pricing standards at the subcontractor level. A misalignment could, for instance, leave the prime contractor exposed to unanticipated tariff-related losses, with no contractual recourse.
However, in the context of high uncertainty, it is more likely that subcontractors will push back on this typical risk allocation. This is a discussion worth having early-on between owners and prime contractors: all stakeholders have an interest in ensuring that projects are procured on the most competitive basis without jeopardizing the supply chain by transferring undue and unmanageable risk.
Where attention should be focused:
- Innovation and flexibility: All stakeholders should consider the risk-specific items of a project to determine whether there is ground to deviate from standard risk allocation. While owners already have plenty of tools in their toolkits (e.g. cash allowances, price adjustment (escalation) clauses, risk-share on key items, etc.), they should consider the using these to address tariff risks on key items for which the risk was typically transferred to private parties (e.g. alternatives to steel components, specialised equipment procured abroad, etc.).
- Contractual consistency: Owners should ensure that prime contracts contain clear and enforceable flow-down requirements to maintain consistency across the supply chain. Similarly, prime contractors should verify that their subcontracts reflect the same tariff-related protections and remedies contained under their Prime Contracts.
- Pricing in the risk: All links on the contractual chain should have candid frank discussions around the impact on cost that assigning risks associated with tariffs will have. Open dialogue on these risk contingencies can often provide a measurable framework within which to navigate finding alternatives and solutions.
Impact on long-lead items: Managing procurement risks proactively
Tariff volatility is significantly affecting many long-lead items—materials or equipment with extended procurement and delivery timelines. These items, often ordered months or years in advance, are now subject to unpredictable price swings. Without contractual safeguards, both owners and prime contractors risk being locked into unfavourable pricing terms that do not account for subsequent tariff increases.
Inadequate planning and protections for long-lead items can result in substantial financial exposure or delays. For example, if the prime contract requires fixed pricing for specified materials, but tariffs drive costs higher, prime contractors may be forced to absorb the difference unless there is a price escalation mechanism in place.
Where attention should be focused:
- Proactive procurement strategies: Owners should collaborate with prime contractors early in the procurement process to plan for tariff volatility and the associated allocation of that risk between them. This may include using early purchase agreements or price-indexed procurement models to reduce exposure to future tariff increases.
- Flexible pricing mechanisms: Both parties should consider incorporating flexible pricing provisions for long-lead items (e.g. adjustments based on published tariff rates).
Price adjustment (escalation) clauses: A critical risk mitigation tool
Price adjustment clauses could become an essential tool for managing the evolving financial impact of tariff fluctuations. Traditionally used to address inflation, we can expect that clauses will be refined to specifically address tariff-related cost changes.
A well-drafted price adjustment clause should provide a clear mechanism for adjusting contract prices when the changes to tariffs or material costs exceed predefined thresholds. This protects owners from disproportionate contingencies from proponents, as well as prime contractors and subcontractors from absorbing unrecoverable cost increases. In addition, these mechanisms also provide owners with transparency and predictability regarding potential price adjustments.
Where attention should be focused:
- Clear triggers: Price adjustment clauses should include clear triggers for price adjustments, such as percentage increases in specified material costs or government-published tariff rates. This promotes consistency and reduces ambiguity in the application of price adjustments. For longer-term contracts, both owners and prime contractors should consider linking price adjustments to recognized market indices, where they are appropriate, such as the Statistics Canada Construction Price Index.
- Mitigation measures: Owners should consider including enhanced mitigation measures in their contracts, including collaborative processes between owners and contractors to identify and reduce the consequences of tariffs on the project.
Conclusion: Strengthening contractual resilience in a volatile market
To safeguard procurement stability, all stakeholders must work collaboratively to ensure that contracts reflect a balanced and transparent distribution of risk. This notably means clearly defining triggers for compensation and time extensions, maintaining consistency across all contract tiers, and considering flexible pricing mechanisms that protect against external cost shocks.
By promoting fair and consistent risk allocation, owners, prime contractors, and subcontractors can strengthen the resilience of their projects, reduce the potential for costly disputes, and preserve the financial stability of the entire supply chain.